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In this exclusive interview Mickey Fulp the Mercenary Geologist sits down with Proven and Probable to discuss a wide range of topics from Precious Metals to Base Metals and best value propositions available for you the speculator.

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  • Can people recommend any precious metal dealers that they’ve dealt with? I’d be interested in the Massachusetts/New Hampshire area, but let’s be inclusive, shall we – let’s include all reputable dealers so that others who read these posts can get an idea in their areas. Thanks!

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  • Speculators, Take a look at the recent Precious Metals Summit for 2016. It has a vast amount of company presentations but consider paying particular attention to the Ross Beaty interview and the other keynote presentations.

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  • I am often asked what I see in the future for precious metals (PM). Well, the easy answer is that I see them increasing in value against the US$. While it’s easy to identify a market bottom (or top) after the fact, it isn’t so easy to call it beforehand. That being said, I don’t believe we will see $18.50/ounce silver or $1200/ounce gold again…I think we have seen the bottom on metals. In general, there are two major, and divergent, trains of thought in the financial world as to the future of PM. I will call these the Bill Bonnor/Porter Stansberry school of thought and the Harry Dent school of thought (with apologies to these gentlemen for oversimplifying their respective positions). And I should say up front that these positions are very well thought out, logical and self-consistent. They have been right in many of their predictions before and are certainly worth your time! Harry Dent, an economist basing his research on the science of demographics, believes we are headed for a contraction in the economy and into a period of deflation. His model sees precious metals dropping in price against the US$. Bonnor/Stansberry believe the opposite; that with an ever-increasing supply of dollars chasing the same supply of goods, we are headed for a period of inflation. Perhaps, even, a period of hyper-inflation. In this scenario, PM prices will increase against the US$. Several years ago, I posited that we had both of these scenarios playing out at the same time…and I believe that we still do. My Levis now cost $59, $50 on sale. The same pair of jeans 5 years ago were $28, $25 on sale. Anyone who buys gasoline, clothes or food understands that the official government inflation of 1%-3% is off by about 8%. Obviously, we have many other areas of the economy where this can be observed. At the same time, the overall housing market has been dropping since the economy tanked. Sure, there are areas of the country where local markets have been improving. But this is a very temporary state of affairs. Mark my words, we haven’t seen the bottom of the housing market! Plus, there is a tremendous glut of foreclosed-upon properties that aren’t even on the market. This is very deflationary. Look for this tug-of-war to continue over the next few years. Especially if nothing changes in DC and politicians keep kicking cans down the road! That being said, I think the real key to the future of the PM market lies in the slow (or otherwise) demise of the petrodollar and the rise of (at least one) other reserve currencies. China, the world’s largest gold producer, exports none and has been actively buying up gold around the world for years! While we don’t know the official number on China’s gold holdings, China certainly has sufficient gold to gain a seat at the table of major gold holding nations! And, they have been making noises for some time now about the creation of a gold-backed world reserve currency. Should this happen, the price of gold could increase overnight! Additionally, in the last few weeks, Russia signed an agreement with China to supply gas for the next 30 years. This is huge! And huge, too, for the long-term appreciation of gold. ((And it hardly received a mention by the major news services here in the U.S.)) With Russia, China, and a number of other countries moving away from the petrodollar, look for the Saudis to rethink their agreement with the U.S. They are increasingly troubled by our Middle East Policy and especially with regards to Iran. Should the Saudis also begin to move away from the petrodollar, once more look for an increase in the price of gold as the value of the US$ drops. So, again, what do I see in the future for precious metals (PM)? I hate near-term projections. They are like trying to predict the weather 5-10 days out! I think we will likely see higher prices by the end of this year. But, I look for $150-$200/ounce silver & $5000/ounce gold in 3-5 years…events may prove these numbers conservative!

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  • I sold all of my EE bonds in 2014 and bought Bitcoins with the proceeds. I did this because I considered holding them to be willfully receiving stolen money. As everyone knows, Treasuries are backed by the full faith and credit of a state, along with its taxing power. My conclusion is that no consistent libertarian should be using T-bonds or T-bills. Thoughts?

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  • With particular reference to this weeks edition of Sprott´s thoughts ( ) featuring Rick Rule, I wanted some investor insight on the so called postponed bull markets in industrial commodities, particularly Uranium. Am I correct to use the metaphor of a beach ball being pushed deeper underwater at a slower but steadier rate which will delay capital investments in the sector, which will in turn cause an inevitable supply crunch maybe more dramatic than if the spot price allowed more investment now? I guess platinum and palladium are for there own reasons in a similar situation. I like the uranium thesis presented by Rick and I think the nuclear industry growth will overpower the weakness in global electricity demand which we are experiencing now.There must be a lot of money tied up in the constuction of new nuclear power plants so we should expect those to be in full operation as soon as they are finished. We may have to wait a little longer as investors but there may be a more dramatic turnaround. Excuse my rambling but I would very much welcome any thoughts or possible error´s in my coclusions. Cheers

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